Hlavnim cilem diplomove prace je navrhnout upravy indexu bidy a vyhodnotit jeho hodnotu v Rusku v obdobi 2010-2019. Prace se sklada ze dvou casti: teoreticke a prakticke. V teoreticke casti je proveden kriticky literarni prehled ukazatelu ekonomicke stability, jako je inflace, HDP a GRP, mira nezamestnanosti, a pristupy k odhadu techto ukazatelu v Rusku. Zatimco prakticka cast diplomove prace si klade za cil analyzovat tyto ukazatele v Rusku na narodni a okresni urovni, vypocitat standardni index bidy, navrhnout upravy a vyhodnotit hodnotu upraveneho indexu bidy. Pote autor vypocita upraveny index bidy pro dane obdobi, aby videl tendence a odhadl rozdil mezi okresy. Pote, co bude provedena analyza a odhad, autor prace uvede nektera doporuceni. Vysledkem prace jsou odhadovane upravene indexy bidy na narodni a okresni urovni, ktere lze pouzit k pochopeni realneho obrazu a vytvoreni strategii pro zlepseni situace.
Annotation in English
The main aim of the thesis is to propose adjustments to the misery index and evaluate its value in Russia during the period from 2010 till 2019. The thesis consists of two parts: theoretical and practical. In the theoretical part, critical literature review of the indicators of economic stability such as inflation, GDP and GRP, unemployment rate, as well as approaches of estimation of these indicators in Russia is performed. While practical part of the thesis aims to analyze these indicators in Russia on national and district level, calculate the standard misery index, propose adjustments, and evaluate the value of the adjusted misery index. After that, the author calculates the adjusted misery index for the period to see the tendencies and estimate the gap between districts. After the analysis and estimation will be performed, the author of the thesis gives some recommendations. The result of the thesis is estimated adjusted misery indexes on the national and the district level which can be used for understanding the real picture and creating strategies to improve the situation.
Keywords
CPI, index bidy, odhad inflace, ukazatele ekonomicke stability
Hlavnim cilem diplomove prace je navrhnout upravy indexu bidy a vyhodnotit jeho hodnotu v Rusku v obdobi 2010-2019. Prace se sklada ze dvou casti: teoreticke a prakticke. V teoreticke casti je proveden kriticky literarni prehled ukazatelu ekonomicke stability, jako je inflace, HDP a GRP, mira nezamestnanosti, a pristupy k odhadu techto ukazatelu v Rusku. Zatimco prakticka cast diplomove prace si klade za cil analyzovat tyto ukazatele v Rusku na narodni a okresni urovni, vypocitat standardni index bidy, navrhnout upravy a vyhodnotit hodnotu upraveneho indexu bidy. Pote autor vypocita upraveny index bidy pro dane obdobi, aby videl tendence a odhadl rozdil mezi okresy. Pote, co bude provedena analyza a odhad, autor prace uvede nektera doporuceni. Vysledkem prace jsou odhadovane upravene indexy bidy na narodni a okresni urovni, ktere lze pouzit k pochopeni realneho obrazu a vytvoreni strategii pro zlepseni situace.
Annotation in English
The main aim of the thesis is to propose adjustments to the misery index and evaluate its value in Russia during the period from 2010 till 2019. The thesis consists of two parts: theoretical and practical. In the theoretical part, critical literature review of the indicators of economic stability such as inflation, GDP and GRP, unemployment rate, as well as approaches of estimation of these indicators in Russia is performed. While practical part of the thesis aims to analyze these indicators in Russia on national and district level, calculate the standard misery index, propose adjustments, and evaluate the value of the adjusted misery index. After that, the author calculates the adjusted misery index for the period to see the tendencies and estimate the gap between districts. After the analysis and estimation will be performed, the author of the thesis gives some recommendations. The result of the thesis is estimated adjusted misery indexes on the national and the district level which can be used for understanding the real picture and creating strategies to improve the situation.
Keywords
CPI, index bidy, odhad inflace, ukazatele ekonomicke stability
Define the objectives and the application method used in Master thesis.
I. Theoretical part
Conduct a critical literature review focused on economic theories and empirical studies related to inflation, unemployment and total product.
Define key components of the Misery index and data availability.
II. Practical part
Analyze development of economic stability and well-being indicators on the regional and national level in Russia. Propose adjustments to the standard Misery index.
Estimate adjusted Misery index and compare its development on the regional and national level.
Discuss observed differences between the standard and adjusted Misery indexes.
Conclusion
Research Plan
Introduction
Define the objectives and the application method used in Master thesis.
I. Theoretical part
Conduct a critical literature review focused on economic theories and empirical studies related to inflation, unemployment and total product.
Define key components of the Misery index and data availability.
II. Practical part
Analyze development of economic stability and well-being indicators on the regional and national level in Russia. Propose adjustments to the standard Misery index.
Estimate adjusted Misery index and compare its development on the regional and national level.
Discuss observed differences between the standard and adjusted Misery indexes.
Conclusion
Recommended resources
ANDREW STUART, Andrew. Measuring and Promoting Wellbeing How Important is Economic Growth? Australia: ANU Press, 2014. ISBN 9781925021318.
DEATON, Angus. The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality. New Jesrsey: Princeton University Press, 2015. ISBN 0691165629.
DIXIT, Avinash. Microeconomics: A Very Short Introduction. London: OUP Oxford, 2014. ISBN 0199689377.
KEELEY, Brian. Income Inequality The Gap between Rich and Poor. Paris: OECD Insights, 2015. ISBN 978-92-64-24600-3.
The Russian Economy under Putin. London: Routledge, 2018. ISBN 9780367587758.
Recommended resources
ANDREW STUART, Andrew. Measuring and Promoting Wellbeing How Important is Economic Growth? Australia: ANU Press, 2014. ISBN 9781925021318.
DEATON, Angus. The Great Escape: Health, Wealth, and the Origins of Inequality. New Jesrsey: Princeton University Press, 2015. ISBN 0691165629.
DIXIT, Avinash. Microeconomics: A Very Short Introduction. London: OUP Oxford, 2014. ISBN 0199689377.
KEELEY, Brian. Income Inequality The Gap between Rich and Poor. Paris: OECD Insights, 2015. ISBN 978-92-64-24600-3.
The Russian Economy under Putin. London: Routledge, 2018. ISBN 9780367587758.
Enclosed appendices
Appendix P I: Detailed structure of CPI in the period of 2006 till 2019 in Russia Appendix P II: List of the products which are included in CPI calculation
Appendix P III: Yearly prices of product basket per each federal district and Russia as a whole from 2002 till 2020
Appendix P IV: Changes in CPI on national level in Russia (from 1991 till 2020)
Appendix P V: CPI food changes on monthly basis from 1991 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P VI: CPI non-food changes on monthly basis from 1991 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P VII: CPI services changes on monthly basis from 1991 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P VIII: CPI changes on annual basis on district and national levels from 2010 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P IX: CPI food changes on annual basis on district and national levels from 2010 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P X: CPI non-food changes on annual basis on district and national levels from 2010 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P XI: CPI service changes on annual basis on district and national levels from 2010 to 2020 in Russia
Appendix P XII: The Olivye index for the 2019 per each region of Russia as well as the price change in % to 2018 in Russia
Appendix P XIII: GRP structure for all districts in % (2019) in Russia
Appendix P XIV: Standard Misery index estimation based on inflation and unemployment rate on national and district level from 2010 till 2020 in Russia
Appendix P XV: Data for the period of 2010 to 2019 for the GRP growth rate as well as for the primary values, based on which misery index computation was made in Russia
Appendix P XVI: Adjusted Misery index estimation on national and district level from 2010 till 2020 in Russia
Appendix P XVII: Cash turnover rate and cash and non-cash turnover rate for 2010 -2020 in Russia
Appendix P XVIII: Model estimation of the connection between the brent price change and USD exchange rate based on OLS method for 2015 to 2019 in Russia
Appendix P XIX: The graphical results of estimated model and actual values of USD exchange rate from 2014 to 2019 in Russia
Appendices bound in thesis
graphs, tables
Taken from the library
No
Full text of the thesis
Appendices
Reviewer's report
Supervisor's report
Defence procedure record
Supervisor: Ing. Lubor Homolka, PhD., 25 points.
Question: Please summarise why the aggregate Russian macroeconomic figures tend to be biased? Answered completely
Reviewer: Ing. Martin Mikeska, Ph.D., 22 points.
Questions: 1. On the basis of what other analyses can you prove that the situation in Russia in a long-term perspective is inaccurate from the point of view of the misery index? Answered completely 2. Is there any other research to support the claim that the expanded misery index better reflects the economic situation in Russia? Answered completely
Other questions:
prof. Pavelková: Can you explain other districts (economic stability)? Answered completely
dr. Pálka: In which district will be the smallest growth?Answered completely